SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6%) and 2-0 (5.37%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord |
42.57% ( -0.03) | 22.56% ( 0) | 34.87% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 66.59% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.96% ( 0) | 34.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.09% | 55.91% ( 0.01) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% ( -0.01) | 16.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.45% ( -0.02) | 46.55% ( 0.03) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( 0.02) | 20.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.69% ( 0.02) | 52.32% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.13% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.51% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.21% Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.38% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 34.87% |
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