SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 65.08%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 1-3 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Feyenoord |
16.95% ( -0.52) | 17.97% ( -0.2) | 65.08% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 63.91% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.83% ( -0.01) | 29.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.81% ( -0.01) | 50.18% ( 0.01) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% ( -0.54) | 30.14% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% ( -0.65) | 66.28% ( 0.65) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.49% ( 0.15) | 8.51% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.52% ( 0.37) | 29.48% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.43% Total : 16.95% | 1-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.38% Total : 17.97% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 7.67% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 6.39% ( 0.14)0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 4.72% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.94% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 2.83% ( -0)1-5 @ 2.33% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 1.94% ( 0.07)2-5 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)1-6 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.73% Total : 65.08% |
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