Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 3-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.