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Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
May 2, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
Philips Stadium
H

PSV
2 - 2
Heerenveen

Vertessen (57'), Gakpo (58')
Viergever (38'), Gakpo (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Halilovic (34'), de Jong (59')
Kongolo (22'), Smit (90+4'), Floranus (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 3-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawHeerenveen
71.03%16.72%12.25%
Both teams to score 55.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.06%33.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.19%55.8%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.54%8.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.64%29.36%
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.63%39.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.93%76.07%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 71.02%
    Heerenveen 12.25%
    Draw 16.72%
PSV EindhovenDrawHeerenveen
2-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 8.37%
1-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 7.8%
4-0 @ 5.17%
4-1 @ 4.82%
3-2 @ 3.63%
5-0 @ 2.55%
5-1 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 2.24%
5-2 @ 1.11%
6-0 @ 1.05%
6-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 71.02%
1-1 @ 7.67%
2-2 @ 4.41%
0-0 @ 3.33%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.72%
1-2 @ 3.57%
0-1 @ 3.11%
0-2 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.37%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 12.25%

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