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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 6, 2021 at 5pm UK
Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki
3 - 1
Buducnost

Riski (5'), Valencic (7'), Saksela (13')
Saksela (34'), Browne (85')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Raickovic (35' pen.)
Terzic (31'), Babic (45'), Mirkovic (51')
Coverage of the Champions League First Qualifying Round clash between HJK Helsinki and Buducnost Podgorica.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Buducnost Podgorica had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Buducnost Podgorica win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawBuducnost Podgorica
51.06%23.5%25.44%
Both teams to score 57.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.05%43.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.67%66.33%
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73%17.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.4%47.6%
Buducnost Podgorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03%30.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73%67.27%
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 51.06%
    Buducnost Podgorica 25.44%
    Draw 23.5%
HJK HelsinkiDrawBuducnost Podgorica
2-1 @ 9.67%
1-0 @ 9.39%
2-0 @ 8.25%
3-1 @ 5.66%
3-0 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 3.32%
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 51.06%
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 5.67%
0-0 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-1 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 3.67%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 25.44%

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