Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Buducnost Podgorica had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Buducnost Podgorica win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
