SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 55.78%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 22.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Red Star Belgrade |
55.78% ( 0.04) | 21.81% ( -0) | 22.41% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.34% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.66% ( -0.03) | 39.34% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.32% ( -0.03) | 61.68% ( 0.03) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.97% ( 0) | 14.02% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.42% ( 0.01) | 41.58% ( -0) |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.02% ( -0.05) | 30.98% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.71% ( -0.06) | 67.29% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 55.78% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 22.41% |
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