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Champions League | League Stage
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
RS

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Red Star

Calhanoglu (11'), Arnautovic (59'), Martinez (71'), Taremi (81' pen.)
Mkhitaryan (15'), de Vrij (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Elsnik (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 2-3 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Red Star 1-2 Benfica
Thursday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Red Star Belgrade

With a record of nine wins from their last 13 Champions League home matches, Inter start strong favourites to take maximum points in Milan. Buoyed by a win at the weekend, the Nerazzurri should be back to somewhere near their best, ready to take advantage of Red Star's away-day woes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 55.78%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 22.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawRed Star Belgrade
55.78% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 21.81% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 22.41% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 59.34% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)39.34% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)61.68% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)14.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.42% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)41.58% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)30.98% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (-0.058 -0.06)67.29% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 55.78%
    Red Star Belgrade 22.41%
    Draw 21.8%
Inter MilanDrawRed Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.38% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 55.78%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.8%
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 22.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Udinese 2-3 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 AC Milan
Sunday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Man City 0-0 Inter Milan
Wednesday, September 18 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, September 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Atalanta
Friday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Red Star 1-2 Benfica
Thursday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Red Star 2-0 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, August 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 2-1 Red Star
Tuesday, August 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Talleres 1-0 Red Star
Friday, July 12 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Red Star 2-3 Man City
Wednesday, December 13 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Young Boys 2-0 Red Star
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League


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