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Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitic
MC

Red Star
2 - 3
Man City

In-beom (76'), Katai (90+1')
Spajic (45+1'), Mijailovic (65'), Djiga (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hamilton (19'), Bobb (62'), Phillips (85' pen.)
Phillips (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Young Boys 2-0 Red Star
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.36%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawManchester City
32.86% (-2.693 -2.69) 22.6% (0.388 0.39) 44.53% (2.306 2.31)
Both teams to score 65.7% (-2.418 -2.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.07% (-2.797 -2.8)34.92% (2.798 2.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.09% (-3.193 -3.19)56.9% (3.194 3.19)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (-2.658 -2.66)21.53% (2.659 2.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (-4.253 -4.25)54.59% (4.254 4.25)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)16.27% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.17% (-0.434 -0.43)45.82% (0.435 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 32.86%
    Manchester City 44.53%
    Draw 22.6%
Red Star BelgradeDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 7.5% (-0.199 -0.2)
1-0 @ 5.38% (0.335 0.34)
2-0 @ 4.13% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.44 -0.44)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.431 -0.43)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.224 -0.22)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.31 -0.31)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.294 -0.29)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 32.86%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.533 0.53)
2-2 @ 6.81% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-0 @ 3.5% (0.478 0.48)
3-3 @ 2.11% (-0.28 -0.28)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.6%
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.416 0.42)
0-1 @ 6.36% (0.822 0.82)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.706 0.71)
1-3 @ 5.37% (0.21 0.21)
2-3 @ 4.12% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.403 0.4)
1-4 @ 2.44% (0.076 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.171 0.17)
3-4 @ 0.96% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 44.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Young Boys 2-0 Red Star
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Red Star 1-2 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Red Star 2-2 Young Boys
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 3-1 Red Star
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-3 Red Star
Wednesday, July 12 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Man City
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Man City
Wednesday, December 6 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-3 Spurs
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-2 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Liverpool
Saturday, November 25 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 4-4 Man City
Sunday, November 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League


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