SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
45.12% ( -0.59) | 22.29% ( 0.1) | 32.58% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 66.78% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.54% ( -0.28) | 33.46% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.75% ( -0.32) | 55.25% ( 0.32) |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.51% ( -0.32) | 15.48% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.63% ( -0.6) | 44.37% ( 0.6) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( 0.13) | 20.98% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.25% ( 0.2) | 53.74% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.12% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 32.58% |
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