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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
IL

Udinese
2 - 3
Inter Milan

Kabasele (35'), Lucca (83')
Karlstrom (26')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Frattesi (1'), Martinez (45+3', 47')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 3-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 AC Milan
Sunday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-2 Inter Milan

Even though Udinese have become a tougher proposition since the back end of last season, Inter must surely post their first away win of the current campaign on Saturday. The Scudetto holders are going through a sticky patch at the moment, but their class will shine through and prove sufficient to secure maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Udinese win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawInter Milan
27.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 23.11% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 49.31% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.47% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.6% (0.089999999999996 0.09)40.39% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.23% (0.091999999999999 0.09)62.77% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5% (0.051000000000002 0.05)27.5% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.99% (0.067 0.07)63% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (0.039000000000001 0.04)16.59% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6% (0.067 0.07)46.39% (-0.067 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 27.58%
    Inter Milan 49.31%
    Draw 23.11%
UdineseDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 5.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64%
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 27.58%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 8.2% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.67% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 49.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Udinese 3-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Udinese
Sunday, September 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-3 Udinese
Monday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Como
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-1 Lazio
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Udinese
Sunday, August 18 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 AC Milan
Sunday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Man City 0-0 Inter Milan
Wednesday, September 18 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, September 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Atalanta
Friday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, August 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A


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