SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 54.89%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
54.89% ( -0.99) | 22.34% ( 0.3) | 22.77% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.62% ( -0.55) | 41.38% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.22% ( -0.56) | 63.77% ( 0.57) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.99% ( -0.51) | 15.01% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.53% ( -0.98) | 43.47% ( 0.98) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( 0.31) | 31.8% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.77% ( 0.35) | 68.23% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.91% Total : 54.89% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.34% | 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.62% Total : 22.77% |
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