Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.