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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Dec 5, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
LL

Spezia
1 - 2
Lazio

N'Zola (64')
Bastoni (23'), Terzi (31'), Ricci (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 48%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lazio in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawLazio
28.23%23.77%48%
Both teams to score 58.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02%42.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61%65.39%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63%28.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89%64.12%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93%18.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01%49%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 28.23%
    Lazio 48%
    Draw 23.77%
SpeziaDrawLazio
2-1 @ 6.96%
1-0 @ 6.46%
2-0 @ 4.07%
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 28.23%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 9.45%
0-1 @ 8.77%
0-2 @ 7.5%
1-3 @ 5.39%
0-3 @ 4.28%
2-3 @ 3.4%
1-4 @ 2.31%
0-4 @ 1.83%
2-4 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 48%

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