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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 10, 2021 at 8pm UK
Pepsi Arena, Warsaw
DZ

Legia
0 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb


Wieteska (28'), Jedrzejczyk (28'), Pesqueira (72'), Juranovic (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Franjic (20')
Peric (45+2'), Orsic (76'), Misic (77'), Gojak (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawDinamo Zagreb
34.48%23.66%41.85%
Both teams to score 62.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.38%39.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.03%61.96%
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14%22.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41%56.58%
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73%19.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.01%50.98%
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 34.48%
    Dinamo Zagreb 41.85%
    Draw 23.66%
Legia WarsawDrawDinamo Zagreb
2-1 @ 7.9%
1-0 @ 6.5%
2-0 @ 4.8%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 6.51%
0-0 @ 4.4%
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-1 @ 7.25%
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 4.84%
2-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 3.28%
1-4 @ 1.99%
2-4 @ 1.47%
0-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 41.85%

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