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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2021 at 7pm UK
Stadiom Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb
1 - 1
Legia

Petkovic (60')
Jakic (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muci (82')
Slisz (7'), Jedrzejczyk (44'), Renato Soares Martins (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Dinamo ZagrebDrawLegia Warsaw
49.56%22.25%28.2%
Both teams to score 64.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.19%35.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.11%57.89%
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.19%14.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.89%43.11%
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27%24.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72%59.29%
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Zagreb 49.56%
    Legia Warsaw 28.2%
    Draw 22.25%
Dinamo ZagrebDrawLegia Warsaw
2-1 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 7%
2-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 5.94%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 4.15%
4-1 @ 2.84%
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.98%
5-1 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 49.56%
1-1 @ 9.78%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 3.67%
3-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-1 @ 5.12%
0-2 @ 3.58%
1-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 1.67%
1-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 28.2%

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