SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkupi win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shkupi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln Red Imps | Draw | Shkupi |
24.16% ( -0) | 23.6% ( -0) | 52.23% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.43% ( 0.01) | 45.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.1% ( 0.01) | 67.89% ( -0.02) |
| Lincoln Red Imps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% ( 0) | 32.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% ( 0) | 69.47% ( -0.01) |
| Shkupi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% ( 0) | 17.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.1% ( 0.01) | 47.89% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln Red Imps | Draw | Shkupi |
| 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.19% 2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 2% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.16% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-2 @ 8.75% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.09% 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.22% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 3.76% Total : 52.22% |
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