SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkupi win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shkupi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shkupi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shkupi | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
50.88% ( -0) | 24.21% ( 0.01) | 24.91% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.24% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.51% ( -0.03) | 47.49% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.3% ( -0.03) | 69.7% ( 0.03) |
| Shkupi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( -0.01) | 18.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.98% ( -0.02) | 50.02% ( 0.02) |
| Lincoln Red Imps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.69% ( -0.02) | 33.31% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.07% ( -0.02) | 69.93% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shkupi | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.9% 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 50.88% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.37% Total : 24.91% |
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