SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for KF Ballkani had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a KF Ballkani win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | KF Ballkani |
60.4% ( -0.05) | 21.78% ( 0.02) | 17.81% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( -0.07) | 45.72% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( -0.06) | 68.04% ( 0.06) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.31% ( -0.04) | 14.69% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.13% ( -0.07) | 42.86% ( 0.07) |
| KF Ballkani Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.7% ( -0.01) | 39.3% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.99% ( -0.01) | 76% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | KF Ballkani |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 60.39% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.78% | 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.13% Total : 17.82% |
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