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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki
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Olympiacos
1 - 1
Ludogorets

Camara (87')
Semedo (43'), Abou Cisse (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Despodov (50')
Tekpetey (57'), Nedyalkov (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
OlympiacosDrawLudogorets Razgrad
61.67%21.06%17.27%
Both teams to score 53.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.55%43.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.15%65.85%
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.43%13.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.33%40.66%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41%38.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.66%75.33%
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 61.66%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 17.27%
    Draw 21.06%
OlympiacosDrawLudogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-0 @ 10.44%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.96%
3-1 @ 6.62%
4-0 @ 3.47%
4-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 3.15%
4-2 @ 1.58%
5-0 @ 1.39%
5-1 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 61.66%
1-1 @ 9.96%
0-0 @ 5.23%
2-2 @ 4.74%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.06%
0-1 @ 4.98%
1-2 @ 4.74%
0-2 @ 2.37%
1-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 17.27%

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