SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Sutjeska Niksic had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Sutjeska Niksic win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Sutjeska Niksic |
38.44% ( -0.03) | 26.28% ( 0.01) | 35.27% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% ( -0.03) | 51.47% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( -0.03) | 73.27% ( 0.03) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( -0.03) | 26.15% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.77% ( -0.04) | 61.22% ( 0.04) |
| Sutjeska Niksic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( -0) | 27.98% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.38% ( -0) | 63.62% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Sutjeska Niksic |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.44% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.27% |
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