Sutjeska will have enjoyed a longer recovery period for this contest than Ludogorets, but Simundza's side have started the season as they mean to go on, and momentum is firmly on their side.
Simundza also has a wealth of attacking options ready to make the difference if fatigue comes into play, and we are backing the Eagles to cruise into round two with another clean sheet against their goal-shy hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Sutjeska Niksic had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Sutjeska Niksic win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ludogorets Razgrad in this match.
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