Red Star
1 - 0
Ludogorets

Ivanic (57')
Srnic (63'), Krsticic (69'), Gajic (87'), Erakovic (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Soteriou (85')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Red Star Belgrade and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Red Star Belgrade 2-0 Ludogorets Razgrad

Despite a weakened defence after those two red cards last time out, Red Star should still have enough to comfortably dispatch the group minnows. We are backing a comfortable 2-0 home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Red Star Belgrade in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Red Star Belgrade.

Result
Red Star Belgrade	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
53.01%	25.47%	21.52%

Both teams to score 46.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.36%

55.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.2%

76.79%

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.98%

21.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.19%

53.8%

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59%

41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.44%

77.55%

Score Analysis

Red Star Belgrade 53%

Ludogorets Razgrad 21.52%

Draw 25.47%

Red Star Belgrade	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 13.44% 2-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 5.45% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.24% Total : 53%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 7.68% 1-2 @ 5.34% 0-2 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.22% Total : 21.52%