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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 21, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Ludogorets Arena
B

Ludogorets
0 - 1
Braga


Tekpetey (48'), Goncalves (68'), Sa (72'), Santana (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Horta (7')
Leite (24'), Elmusrati (26')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 51.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawBraga
24.06%24.38%51.56%
Both teams to score 52.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02%48.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93%71.06%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.15%34.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.41%71.58%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01%18.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.47%50.53%
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 24.06%
    Braga 51.56%
    Draw 24.37%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.97%
2-1 @ 6.11%
2-0 @ 3.68%
3-1 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 1.78%
3-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 24.06%
1-1 @ 11.58%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 10.99%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-2 @ 9.13%
1-3 @ 5.33%
0-3 @ 5.06%
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 2.22%
0-4 @ 2.1%
2-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 51.56%

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