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Champions League | Semi-Finals
Aug 19, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
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Lyon
0 - 3
Bayern


Marcelo (35'), Marcal (42'), Mendes (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gnabry (18', 33'), Lewandowski (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 15.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.35%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawBayern Munich
15.16%24.67%60.17%
Both teams to score 38.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49%60.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.38%80.62%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.39%51.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.26%85.74%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9%20.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65%52.34%
Score Analysis
    Lyon 15.16%
    Bayern Munich 60.16%
    Draw 24.66%
LyonDrawBayern Munich
1-0 @ 6.86%
2-1 @ 3.64%
2-0 @ 2.27%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 15.16%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 2.92%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 16.64%
0-2 @ 13.35%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-3 @ 7.14%
1-3 @ 4.72%
0-4 @ 2.87%
1-4 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 60.16%


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