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Champions League | Quarter-Finals
Aug 14, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
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Barcelona
2 - 8
Bayern

Alaba (7' og.), Suarez (57')
Suarez (54'), Alba (60'), Vidal (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Muller (4', 31'), Perisic (22'), Gnabry (28'), Kimmich (63'), Lewandowski (82'), Coutinho (85', 89')
Boateng (43'), Davies (52'), Kimmich (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 56.13%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.86%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
BarcelonaDrawBayern Munich
56.13%19.6%24.27%
Both teams to score 70.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.7%26.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.4%46.6%
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.3%9.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.67%32.34%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78%22.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36%55.65%
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 56.13%
    Bayern Munich 24.27%
    Draw 19.6%
BarcelonaDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.82%
3-1 @ 6.86%
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-2 @ 5.16%
1-0 @ 5.03%
3-0 @ 4.56%
4-1 @ 4%
4-2 @ 3.01%
4-0 @ 2.66%
5-1 @ 1.87%
4-3 @ 1.51%
5-2 @ 1.4%
5-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 56.13%
1-1 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 6.64%
3-3 @ 2.59%
0-0 @ 2.16%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 19.6%
1-2 @ 5.69%
2-3 @ 3.33%
0-1 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-2 @ 2.44%
2-4 @ 1.25%
0-3 @ 1.22%
1-4 @ 1.07%
3-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 24.27%


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