Marseille will fancy their chances of turning this tie around on home soil, and it is set to be a fascinating contest on Tuesday night. Panathinaikos deserve a lot of respect, but the French outfit have enough quality to overcome the one-goal deficit in order to progress to the playoff round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Panathinaikos
54.34% ( -0.01)	23.88% ( 0)	21.77% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.57% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.77% (

-0)

49.22% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.71% (

-0.01)

71.28% (

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.98% (

-0.01)

18.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.11% (

-0.01)

48.88% (

0.01)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.89% (

0.01)

37.1% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.11% (

0.01)

73.88% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Marseille 54.34%

Panathinaikos 21.77%

Draw 23.87%

Marseille	Draw	Panathinaikos
1-0 @ 11.45% 2-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.43% Total : 54.34%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.77%