Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
