Marseille have undergone a significant attacking transition this summer, and Marcelino's new forwards may take some time to gel with one another, offering Panathinaikos hope of a positive result on home soil.
The Greek giants can be expected to breach the Olympiens' backline at least once, but Marseille still boast a host of players with plenty of continental nous, and the visitors should take a first-leg lead back to base.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.08) 
