Ludogorets
1 - 0
Soligorsk

(Ludogorets Razgrad win 2-0 on aggregate)

Oliveira Souza (90+2')
Despodov (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sachivko (31'), Szoke (34'), Antic (86')

Coverage of the Champions League First Qualifying Round clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Shakhtyor Soligorsk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Shakhtyor Soligorsk
30%	23.76%	46.24%

Both teams to score 59.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.13%

41.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.73%

64.27%

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.39%

26.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.16%

61.84%

Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.66%

18.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.56%

49.44%

Score Analysis

Ludogorets Razgrad 30%

Shakhtyor Soligorsk 46.24%

Draw 23.75%

Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Shakhtyor Soligorsk
2-1 @ 7.25% 1-0 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 4.28% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.15% Total : 30%	1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 9.29% 0-1 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 5.26% 0-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.23% 0-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.56% Total : 46.24%