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Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 10, 2020 at 8pm UK
Ludogorets Arena
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Ludogorets
1 - 3
LASK

Manu (46')
Cicinho (44')
Santana (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wiesinger (56'), Renner (62' pen.), Emil Madsen (67')
Wiesinger (54'), Balic (63'), Ramsebner (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LASK Linz win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a LASK Linz win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LASK Linz would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawLASK Linz
27.95%23.73%48.32%
Both teams to score 58.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01%42.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61%65.39%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42%28.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63%64.37%
LASK Linz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05%17.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22%48.78%
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 27.95%
    LASK Linz 48.32%
    Draw 23.72%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawLASK Linz
2-1 @ 6.91%
1-0 @ 6.43%
2-0 @ 4.02%
3-1 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.95%
1-1 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 9.48%
0-1 @ 8.81%
0-2 @ 7.57%
1-3 @ 5.43%
0-3 @ 4.33%
2-3 @ 3.4%
1-4 @ 2.33%
0-4 @ 1.86%
2-4 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 48.32%

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