Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 47.27%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 1-0 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
