Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.66%) and 0-1 (5.34%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
