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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2020 at 8pm UK
Orange VĂ©lodrome
MC

Marseille
0 - 3
Man City


Amavi (62'), Caleta-Car (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Torres (18'), Gundogan (76'), Sterling (81')
Laporte (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.47%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 23.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawManchester City
23.19%22.33%54.47%
Both teams to score 58.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13%40.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.75%63.25%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85%31.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51%67.48%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.03%14.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.6%43.39%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 23.19%
    Manchester City 54.47%
    Draw 22.32%
MarseilleDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 6.02%
1-0 @ 5.44%
2-0 @ 3.17%
3-1 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 23.19%
1-1 @ 10.32%
2-2 @ 5.72%
0-0 @ 4.66%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-1 @ 8.86%
0-2 @ 8.41%
1-3 @ 6.21%
0-3 @ 5.32%
2-3 @ 3.62%
1-4 @ 2.95%
0-4 @ 2.53%
2-4 @ 1.72%
1-5 @ 1.12%
0-5 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 54.47%


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