We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Club Brugge
Shipping 14 goals in their last three Champions League games - as well as at least two in their last seven in all tournaments - is seemingly a recipe for disaster for Brugge, but PSG have not exactly been ruthless in recent days.
Some expected alterations on the hosts' end could also have Clement's side stepping out onto the turf with a sense of optimism, but Pochettino's men will still expect to march to a routine win in front of their own fans.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Club Brugge had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Club Brugge win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
