Lens
1 - 1
PSG

Fofana (62')
Medina (47'), Gradit (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wijnaldum (90+1')
Verratti (63'), Hakimi (90')

Preview

The Match

We said: Lens 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain

Lens have been performing admirably this campaign but have hit a poor spell of form at just the wrong time to be taking on PSG. The Parisians may still be missing some important players, but we are backing them to produce enough to gain a narrow away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48%. A win for Lens had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
28.91%	23.08%	48%

Both teams to score 61.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.69%

39.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.35%

61.65%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.96%

26.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.92%

61.08%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.33%

16.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.47%

46.53%

Score Analysis

Lens 28.91%

Paris Saint-Germain 48%

Draw 23.08%

Lens	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.04% 1-0 @ 5.84% 2-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 28.91%	1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.34% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.08%	1-2 @ 9.37% 0-1 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 5.6% 0-3 @ 4.16% 2-3 @ 3.77% 1-4 @ 2.51% 0-4 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.69% Other @ 4.3% Total : 48%