SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48%. A win for Lens had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 28.91% | 23.08% | 48% |
| Both teams to score 61.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.69% | 39.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.35% | 61.65% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% | 26.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.92% | 61.08% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.33% | 16.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.47% | 46.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.04% 1-0 @ 5.84% 2-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 28.91% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.34% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 9.37% 0-1 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 5.6% 0-3 @ 4.16% 2-3 @ 3.77% 1-4 @ 2.51% 0-4 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.69% Other @ 4.3% Total : 48% |
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