We said: Manchester City 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain
PSG have historically struggled for a clinical edge at the Etihad, but their recent goalscoring exploits with the famed front three should certainly see them register at least once in midweek.
Neither coach will be satisfied with a point as the race to make the last-16 in Group A goes right down to the wire, but it is difficult to see a clear winner in this battle, and we expect the two sides to play out an enthralling four-goal draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 49.82%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.03%) and 3-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match.
