SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Lorient | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 37.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.61%) and 0-2 (4.9%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Monaco |
37.59% ( -0.03) | 22.49% ( 0) | 39.91% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 67.35% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.76% ( -0.01) | 33.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45% ( -0.01) | 55% ( 0.01) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.56% ( -0.02) | 18.43% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.4% ( -0.03) | 49.6% ( 0.03) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.57% ( 0) | 17.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.12% ( 0.01) | 47.87% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.43% 2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.59% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 39.91% |
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