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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Philips Stadion
M

PSV
3 - 2
Monaco

Veerman (21'), Gutierrez (89'), de Jong (109')
Til (7'), Sangare (23'), Obispo (85'), Ramalho (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Maripan (58'), Ben Yedder (70')
Golovin (36'), Vanderson (78'), Matazo (89'), Maripan (120')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Monaco
Saturday, August 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We say: PSV Eindhoven 1-2 Monaco (Monaco win 3-2 on aggregate)

Both managers could afford to rest key names at the weekend, but both must also work around a number of injury concerns for the second leg, which should prove to be another tense and closely-fought affair. The returns of Golovin and Volland with fresh legs in tow could just tip the balance in Monaco's favour, especially as Clement's side have not shied away from a shot so far this season, and victory should be theirs if they can bury said chances at the Phillips Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 37.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.61%) and 0-2 (4.9%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawMonaco
37.59% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 22.49% (0.0019999999999989 0) 39.91% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 67.35% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.76% (-0.012 -0.01)33.24% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45% (-0.012 -0.01)55% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)18.43% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.4% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)49.6% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.57% (0.0040000000000049 0)17.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)47.87% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 37.59%
    Monaco 39.91%
    Draw 22.49%
PSV EindhovenDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 5.43%
2-0 @ 4.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 37.59%
1-1 @ 9.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-3 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-1 @ 5.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 4.08%
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.78%
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 39.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSV 4-1 Emmen
Saturday, August 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Monaco 1-1 PSV
Tuesday, August 2 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ajax 3-5 PSV
Saturday, July 30 at 7pm in Dutch Super Cup
Last Game: PSV 2-1 Real Betis
Saturday, July 23 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: PSV 5-0 FC Eindhoven
Tuesday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: PSV 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, July 16 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Monaco
Saturday, August 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-1 PSV
Tuesday, August 2 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Monaco
Wednesday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Monaco
Saturday, July 23 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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