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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 21, 2021 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
M

PSV
1 - 2
Monaco

Gakpo (59')
Gakpo (51'), Vinicius (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boadu (20'), Diop (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 45%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawMonaco
45%23.29%31.71%
Both teams to score 62.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24%38.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93%61.07%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39%17.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.82%48.18%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98%24.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72%58.28%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 45%
    Monaco 31.71%
    Draw 23.28%
PSV EindhovenDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 9.1%
1-0 @ 7.35%
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 3.69%
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-2 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 45%
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 6.49%
0-0 @ 4.23%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-1 @ 6.03%
0-2 @ 4.3%
1-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.71%

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