Goals have been the theme for these two sides all summer, but with PSV weary from their Super Cup exploits and struggling with injuries up top, Monaco can take full advantage. It is difficult to imagine Clement's side shutting up shop completely after a couple of poor defensive showings in pre-season, and as such, we are backing an entertaining first leg to finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
48.63% ( 0.02)	24.01% ( -0.01)	27.37% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.17% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.33% (

0.05)

44.67% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.96% (

0.05)

67.04% (

-0.05)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52% (

0.03)

18.48% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.32% (

0.05)

49.68% (

-0.05)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.13% (

0.03)

29.87% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.04% (

0.03)

65.96% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Monaco 48.63%

PSV Eindhoven 27.37%

Draw 24.01%

Monaco	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 48.63%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.01%	1-2 @ 6.8% 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.18% Total : 27.37%