With a trophy on the line, we expect both teams to go at each other with real intent, which should make for a very exciting contest. That said, we are also backing Ajax to just about edge out PSV by the odd goal and emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 57.27%. A win for PSV Eindhoven has a probability of 23.46% and a draw has a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win is 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.36%).

Result
Ajax	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
57.27% ( 2.65)	19.28% ( -0.05)	23.46% ( -2.59)

Both teams to score 70.46% (

-2.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.39% (

-2.5)

25.61% (

2.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.29% (

-3.31)

45.71% (

3.31)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.78% (

-0.18)

9.22% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.8% (

-0.43)

31.2% (

0.44)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

-3.08)

22.38% (

3.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.12% (

-4.83)

55.89% (

4.83)

Score Analysis

Ajax 57.27%

PSV Eindhoven 23.46%

Draw 19.28%

Ajax	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.82) 3-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.73) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.62) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.35) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.06) 4-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.25) 5-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.16) Other @ 4.47% Total : 57.27%	1-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.32) Other @ 0.67% Total : 19.28%	1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.46) 0-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.25) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.13% Total : 23.46%