Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Monaco win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.