Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Ibrox Stadium

Rangers
3 - 0
Union SG

(Rangers win 3-2 on aggregate)

Tavernier (45' pen.), Colak (58'), Tillman (79')
Sands (38'), Colak (45'), Lawrence (75'), Barisic (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sykes (39'), Moris (45+1'), Adingra (55'), Thierry Lazare (75'), Lapoussin (90+4')
Thierry Lazare (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Rangers progress to the Champions League playoff round after securing a thrilling 3-2 comeback win on aggregate over Belgian side Union SG in the third qualifying round.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Rangers and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rangers

Last Six:

Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Celtic	2	4	6
2	Rangers	2	3	6
3	Hearts	2	1	4

Union SG

Last Six:

Last Game: Mechelen 3-0 Union SG
Saturday, August 6 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Kortrijk	3	-1	4
11	Union SG	3	-2	4
12	Mechelen	3	0	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
Rangers	Draw	Union SG
49.87% ( -0.06)	23.4% ( 0.02)	26.73% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 58.71% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.61% (

-0.04)

42.39% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.2% (

-0.04)

64.8% (

0.04)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.87% (

-0.04)

17.13% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.64% (

-0.07)

47.35% (

0.07)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.84% (

0.01)

29.15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.91% (

0.01)

65.09% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Rangers 49.87%

Union SG 26.73%

Draw 23.4%

Rangers	Draw	Union SG
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 3.99% Total : 49.87%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.4%	1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 26.73%