Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.89%. A draw had a probability of 35.6% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 20.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (5.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (22.02%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-0 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
