Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 14.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
