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La Liga | Gameweek 35
Jul 7, 2020 at 9pm UK
Municipal de Balaidos
AM

Celta Vigo
1 - 1
Atletico

Beltran (49')
Mendez (22'), Nolito (41'), Saenz (47'), Murillo (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morata (1')
Lodi (23'), Gimenez (79'), Herrera (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
29.19%26.93%43.88%
Both teams to score 49.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34%55.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.18%76.81%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76%34.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.06%70.93%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8%25.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.07%59.93%
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 29.19%
    Atletico Madrid 43.88%
    Draw 26.92%
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.25%
2-1 @ 6.83%
2-0 @ 4.96%
3-1 @ 2.44%
3-0 @ 1.77%
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.19%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.63%
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 11.89%
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-2 @ 8.2%
1-3 @ 4.04%
0-3 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.88%


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