Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.