SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Arsenal |
39.7% ( -0.12) | 23.39% ( 0.01) | 36.91% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 63.77% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.13% ( -0.05) | 37.87% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.88% ( -0.05) | 60.12% ( 0.06) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% ( -0.07) | 19.48% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.65% ( -0.12) | 51.35% ( 0.13) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( 0.03) | 20.8% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.54% ( 0.05) | 53.46% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 36.91% |
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