SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Brest had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Brest win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Real Madrid |
20.87% ( -0.56) | 22.48% ( -0.25) | 56.65% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.65% ( 0.38) | 44.35% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.28% ( 0.37) | 66.73% ( -0.37) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.77% ( -0.32) | 35.24% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.01% ( -0.34) | 71.99% ( 0.34) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.55% ( 0.41) | 15.45% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.69% ( 0.75) | 44.31% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.95% Total : 20.87% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.48% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 5.91% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.88% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 2.76% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.55% Total : 56.64% |
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