SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a FC Pyunik win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | FC Pyunik |
55.01% ( -0.2) | 24.21% ( -0.24) | 20.79% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 49.22% ( 1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.35% ( 1.47) | 51.65% ( -1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.57% ( 1.27) | 73.43% ( -1.26) |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% ( 0.48) | 18.67% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50% ( 0.8) | 50% ( -0.8) |
| FC Pyunik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.52% ( 1.32) | 39.48% ( -1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.83% ( 1.21) | 76.17% ( -1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | FC Pyunik |
| 1-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.54) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.29)2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.15% Total : 55.01% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.44)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.38% Total : 20.79% |
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