Braga
1 - 1
Red Star

Galeno (52' pen.)
Leite (36')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Katai (70' pen.)
Katai (45+2'), Dragovic (81'), Degenek (90+5')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Braga 3-2 Red Star Belgrade

With only a point separating the two sides in the group, Thursday's contest will be a close encounter, but after winning their two home group games, we think that Braga will utilise home advantage to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 19.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Red Star Belgrade win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
57.73%	23.25%	19.02%

Both teams to score 49.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.92%

50.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.95%

72.05%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.91%

17.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.71%

47.29%

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.52%

40.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.91%

77.09%

Score Analysis

Braga 57.72%

Red Star Belgrade 19.02%

Draw 23.25%

Braga	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 12.22% 2-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 5.75% 4-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 1.15% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.75% Total : 57.72%	1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.25%	0-1 @ 6.26% 1-2 @ 5% 0-2 @ 2.83% 1-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.1% Total : 19.02%