Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 43.24%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 27.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a FC Krasnodar win it was 0-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.