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Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Tynecastle

Hearts
2 - 1
RFS

Shankland (3'), Halliday (12')
Shankland (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Friesenbichler (39')
Lipuscek (19'), Zjuzins (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 3-4 Celtic
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Istanbul 3-0 RFS
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Celtic393.55Furuhashi
2Rangers272.45Colak
3Aberdeen222.00Miovski
4Hearts181.64Shankland
5Motherwell151.25van Veen
6Hibernian141.17Boyle
7St Johnstone131.08May
8St Mirren121.09Greive
9Dundee Utd110.92Watt
10Kilmarnock90.75Armstrong
11Livingston90.82Montano
12Ross County60.50Edwards

We said: Hearts 1-0 Rigas Futbola Skola

RFS will almost certainly come to Tynecastle and sit back and hope for opportunities on the counter-attack, but this did not work as well in Istanbul as it did in Florence. Hearts have been woeful at home of late, but did show a lot of fight and quality in netting three times against Celtic at the weekend, so they should be able to see off the Latvian side here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
HeartsDrawRigas Futbola Skola
41.03% (0.126 0.13) 24.63% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 34.33% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 58.7% (-0.162 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.72% (-0.195 -0.2)44.28% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.34% (-0.191 -0.19)66.65% (0.188 0.19)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)21.61% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)54.71% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Rigas Futbola Skola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)25.11% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)59.82% (0.255 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 41.03%
    Rigas Futbola Skola 34.33%
    Draw 24.62%
HeartsDrawRigas Futbola Skola
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.62%
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.5% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hearts 3-4 Celtic
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Hearts
Sunday, October 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Hearts
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Hearts
Sunday, October 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hearts 0-4 Rangers
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Istanbul 3-0 RFS
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: RFS 0-0 Istanbul
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: RFS 0-2 Hearts
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 RFS
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Linfield 1-1 RFS (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: RFS 2-2 Linfield
Thursday, August 18 at 6pm in Europa Conference League


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